Ground Truth:
Can Forest Carbon Protocols Ensure High-Quality Credits?
An evaluation and scorecard of 20 forest carbon credit protocols by a team of forest scientists demonstrates that most protocols are not strong enough to ensure that certified credits are high-quality.
About
Forests store hundreds of gigatons of carbon. Enhancing and maintaining their ability to store carbon plays an important role in climate change mitigation.
Forest carbon credits are a way to finance projects that protect or restore forests, usually to offset emissions elsewhere. But using forest carbon credits with inadequate guardrails risks slowing down climate action instead of accelerating it.
High-quality carbon credits are essential to achieving a project’s promised climate benefits. A team of leading forest scientists evaluated and scored 20 forest carbon credit protocols relevant to North American voluntary and compliance markets to determine whether the rules of the road defined by these protocols are strong enough to ensure high-quality carbon credits.The team also developed actionable recommendations for strengthening forest carbon credit protocols moving forward.
The results of the evaluation were published in the journal Earth’s Future and have been summarized by Clean Air Task Force in a comprehensive report and scorecard.
Key Findings
The in-depth evaluation of 20 forest carbon credit protocols reveals the following:
Protocol Scorecard
About the Scoring
Our in-depth evaluation analyzed 20* forest carbon credit protocols used in North American voluntary and compliance carbon markets.
We assessed 18 distinct protocol features to produce detailed scores for three types of forest projects: Avoided Conversation, Improved Forest Management, and Reforestation.
Score Summary
Score | Protocol Results |
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6
Exemplary
|
0
(0%)
|
5
Very Robust
|
0
(0%)
|
4
Robust
|
0
(0%)
|
3
Satisfactory
|
1
(3.3%)
|
2
Weak
|
26
(86.7%)
|
1
Very Weak
|
3
(10%)
|
0
Fund. Flawed
|
0
(0%)
|
Protocol Scores
View on desktop to see detailed scoring information for each protocol.
ID |
Protocol Name |
Program | Project Type |
Overall Score |
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1 | VM0045 IFM Using Dynamic Matched Baselines from National Forest Inventories, V1.0** | Verra | IFM |
3.2
Satisfactory
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2 | VM0035 IFM through Reduced Impact Logging, V1.0 | Verra | IFM |
2.7
Weak
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3 | VM0005 Conversion of Low-Productive Forest to High-Productive Forest, V1.2 | Verra | IFM |
2.5
Weak
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4 | VM0012 IFM in Temperate and Boreal Forests (LtPF), V1.2 | Verra | IFM |
2.5
Weak
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5 | VM0034 Canadian Forest Carbon Offset Methodology, V2.0 | Verra | IFM |
2.5
Weak
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6 | VM0010 IFM: Conversion from Logged to Protected Forest, V1.3** | Verra | IFM |
2.4
Weak
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7 | VM0003 IFM through Extension of Rotation Age, V1.3 | Verra | IFM |
2.4
Weak
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8 | U.S. Forest Protocol, V5.1 | Climate Action Reserve | IFM |
2.3
Weak
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9 | IFM on Non-Federal U.S. Forestlands, V2.0** | American Carbon Registry | IFM |
2.3
Weak
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10 | IFM on Small Non-Industrial Private Forestlands, V1.0** | American Carbon Registry | IFM |
2.2
Weak
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11 | U.S. Forest Projects – June 25, 2015 | California | IFM |
2.2
Weak
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12 | IFM on Canadian Forestlands, V1.0 | American Carbon Registry | IFM |
2.2
Weak
|
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13 | Forest Carbon Offset Protocol, V2.0 | British Columbia | IFM |
2.1
Weak
|
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14 | Mexico Forest Protocol, V3.0 | Climate Action Reserve | IFM |
1.9
Very Weak
|
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15 | PM 001 Agriculture and Forestry Carbon Benefit Assessment Methodology, V1.0 | Plan Vivo | IFM |
1.4
Very Weak
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16 | U.S. Forest Protocol, V5.1 | Climate Action Reserve | AR |
2.7
Weak
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17 | Afforestation and Reforestation of Degraded Lands | American Carbon Registry | AR |
2.7
Weak
|
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18 | U.S. Forest Projects – June 25, 2015 | California | AR |
2.7
Weak
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19 | VM0047 Afforestation, Reforestation, and Revegetation, V1.0 | Verra | AR |
2.7
Weak
|
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20 | Forest Carbon Offset Protocol, V2 | British Columbia | AR |
2.4
Weak
|
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21 | VM0034 Canadian Forest Carbon Offset Methodology, V2.0 | Verra | AR |
2.3
Weak
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22 | Mexico Forest Protocol, V3.0 | Climate Action Reserve | AR |
2.3
Weak
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23 | Afforestation/Reforestation (A/R) GHGs Emissions Reduction & Sequestration, V2.0** | Gold Standard | AR |
2.1
Weak
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24 | Carbon Sequestration Through AR on Private Lands – September 2023 | Quebec | AR |
2.0
Weak
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25 | PM 001 Agriculture and Forestry Carbon Benefit Assessment Methodology, V1.0 | Plan Vivo | AR |
1.8
Very Weak
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26 | Active Conservation and Sustainable Management on U.S. Forestlands, V1.0 | American Carbon Registry | AC |
2.2
Weak
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27 | Forest Carbon Offset Protocol, V2.0 | British Columbia | AC |
2.2
Weak
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28 | VM0034 Canadian Forest Carbon Offset Methodology, V2.0 | Verra | AC |
2.2
Weak
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29 | U.S. Forest Protocol, V5.1 | Climate Action Reserve | AC |
2.1
Weak
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30 | U.S. Forest Projects – June 25, 2015 | California | AC |
2.0
Weak
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Additional detail on scoring is available in project resources.
*Since some protocols apply to more than one project type, this process resulted in a total of 30 unique scores.
**An updated version of this protocol with moderate changes is now available.
High-Level Recommendations
Based on available science, the project team recommends the following improvements to protocols and the carbon market system to promote reliably high-quality forest carbon credits.
Project Publications
Reports, papers, and briefs from our team.
The Team
Meet the team of leading forest scientists who conducted the technical assessment of forest carbon credit protocols.
Lucy Hutyra
Distinguished Professor, Department of Earth and Environment
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Matthew Hurteau
Professor, Department of Biology
UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO
William Keeton
Professor, Gund Institute for Environment and Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources
University of Vermont
William Anderegg
Professor, School of Biological
Sciences and Director of Wilkes Center for Climate Science and Policy
UNIVERSITY OF UTAH
David Hollinger
Supervisory Physiologist, Northern Research Station (retired)
US Forest Service
Sara Kuebbing
Director of Research, Applied Science Synthesis Program, The Forest School at the School of the Environment and Research Scientist, Center for Natural Carbon Capture
Yale University
Melissa Lucash
Research Assistant Professor, Department of Environmental Studies, Geography
University of Oregon
Elsa Ordway
Assistant Professor, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology
University of California, Los Angeles
Rodrigo Vargas
Professor, Department of Plant and Soil Sciences
University of Delaware;
Arizona State University
Wayne Walker
Chief Scientific Officer, Senior Scientist
Woodwell Climate Research Center
Kathy Fallon
Program Director, Land Systems
Clean Air Task Force
Rebecca Sanders-DeMott
Director, Ecosystem Carbon Science
Clean Air Task Force